Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.273590 0.314104 0.357619 0.407721 0.463699 0.524201 0.594420
2025-11-30 0.204455 0.258287 0.320782 0.398221 0.491097 0.598374 0.731092
2025-12-07 0.152215 0.211134 0.284850 0.382726 0.507996 0.661578 0.862558
2025-12-14 0.118554 0.179895 0.262280 0.378882 0.537164 0.741754 1.022902
2025-12-21 0.091273 0.151388 0.237914 0.368087 0.554796 0.808143 1.172039
2025-12-28 0.076457 0.137531 0.231086 0.379609 0.603031 0.918987 1.389965
2026-01-04 0.064725 0.125860 0.225195 0.390987 0.651492 1.033874 1.623020
2026-01-11 0.053456 0.112435 0.214051 0.392146 0.683957 1.127703 1.832922
2026-01-18 0.044248 0.100540 0.203212 0.391751 0.713091 1.218048 2.043738
2026-01-25 0.036624 0.089843 0.192473 0.389593 0.738360 1.303552 2.252516
2026-02-01 0.030590 0.080896 0.183280 0.388523 0.764646 1.391855 2.470913
2026-02-08 0.025698 0.073188 0.175049 0.387793 0.790847 1.481219 2.696138
2026-02-15 0.021185 0.065266 0.165150 0.382769 0.809244 1.559710 2.910580
2026-02-22 0.018383 0.060813 0.161789 0.390133 0.850998 1.681070 3.204427
2026-03-01 0.015234 0.054536 0.153223 0.385530 0.869347 1.762437 3.435051
2026-03-08 0.013058 0.050324 0.148638 0.388661 0.902842 1.872975 3.722776
2026-03-15 0.010757 0.044977 0.140248 0.382135 0.916063 1.946941 3.949824
2026-03-22 0.009747 0.043444 0.141240 0.397070 0.974700 2.109388 4.345027
2026-03-29 0.008807 0.041848 0.141772 0.410935 1.032170 2.273023 4.750907
2026-04-05 0.007595 0.038841 0.137860 0.413484 1.065355 2.391584 5.079326
2026-04-12 0.006498 0.035848 0.133376 0.413944 1.093819 2.502379 5.398650
2026-04-19 0.005510 0.032879 0.128342 0.412249 1.117116 2.604025 5.705462
2026-04-26 0.004693 0.030287 0.123914 0.411496 1.142353 2.710886 6.027404